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Since 2020, the lithium iron phosphate battery market has begun to recover and entered a new growth cycle. At the beginning of last year, Tesla and Ningde Times cooperated to enter the "cobalt -free battery", allowing lithium iron phosphate batteries to return to the center of the stage again. The Tesla electric vehicle is undoubtedly opened the prelude to the strong return of lithium iron phosphate batteries in the power battery market in the power battery market.
Driven by domestic Model 3, BYD Han EV, Hongguang MINI EV and other models of lithium iron phosphate batteries have increased significantly, including Ningde Times, BYD, Guoxuan Hi -Tech, Ruipu Energy, Penghui Energy The amount of LFP battery installed and electrical in the passenger car market increased significantly. According to industry data, the shipment volume of lithium iron phosphate batteries accounted for the total amount of power battery shipments from 28%in 2019 to about 35-40%in 2020.
At the beginning of the New Year of 2021, the latest industrial dynamics foreshadow that the LFP battery will set off a wave in the field of passenger cars in 2021. From the perspective of industrial policy, the new energy vehicle subsidy policy in early 2021 officially implemented it. The direction is pointed out.
From the perspective of a big trend, new energy vehicles have completed the industrial development mode that is promoted by national policies, and the development mode of the development of market demand as a pusher. The subsidy standard for new energy vehicle in 2021 is 20%on the basis of 2020. The elimination of the implementation of subsidy policies for superposition subsidies will help promote the normal annual production and sales of new energy passenger cars in 2021.
From the perspective of the industrial layout, head battery companies such as Ningde Times, BYD, Guoxuan Hi -Tech are actively building the production capacity of lithium iron phosphate battery batteries. The market recognition is currently actively expanding its lithium iron phosphate battery capacity.
In addition, Guoxuan Hi -Tech has also upgraded its LFP battery products. Recently, the latest 210WWh/kg of iron phosphate soft cycling core and JTM technology have been launched. Major mainstream battery companies are significantly expanding LFP battery production capacity and capacity. Product upgrades are used to seize market opportunities in the support of passenger cars LFP batteries in 2021.
Generally speaking, as the main factories of the major passenger vehicles have accelerated the launch of LFP models and battery companies to further reduce manufacturing costs, the competitive advantage of LFP batteries in the field of passenger car will be further highlighted, and the domestic passenger vehicle field installation ranking will also be ranked. A new round of adjustments will appear.
In order to estimate the installation of the lithium iron phosphate battery in my country from 2021-2025, we have the following assumptions: First of all, the production and sales of new energy vehicles in my country remained steadily growing from 2021-2023; The effect is significant. By 2025, the production and sales scale of new energy passenger vehicles reached 5.5 million vehicles, plus nearly 6 million units after commercial vehicles and special vehicles, and basically achieved the preset goals of the "New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2021-2035)".
Secondly, within the interior of pure electric passenger cars, the A00 models maintain a share of about 20%, and the lithium iron phosphate battery is increased year by year, and finally the dominant position; , Endurance, cost, and power, and the proportion of lithium is steadily rising. Generally speaking, the lithium iron phosphate power battery ushered in the duration and positioning of the passenger vehicle field.
Finally, the electricity consumption of the bicycle bicycles of each type of pure electric passenger car increased slightly year by year. Based on the above estimates, by 2025, the installation volume of lithium iron phosphate power battery in China is expected to reach 136GWh, and the share of lithium iron phosphate in the power battery market is expected to reach 40%to 50%. If you look at the world, considering that the leading company's leading enterprise has also changed its attitude towards lithium iron phosphate batteries, the lithium lithium battery may have a broader market space. At that time, the annual output of lithium iron phosphate for power batteries may approach 50 10,000 tons.
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