602248 polymer battery.Discussion on mass production technology and cost of "oxide solid-state batteries"

　　The conductivity of solid electrolytes is lower than that of liquid electrolytes. Therefore, in order to reduce the internal resistance of the battery and improve the large current discharge capability of the battery, the solid electrolyte membrane needs to be made as thin as possible. The surface resistance of the solid electrolyte can be calculated by the following formula, where L is the thickness of the electrolyte, δ is the conductivity of the electrolyte. We take a liquid electrolyte with a conductivity of 20mS/cm and a thickness of 25um as an example. Its surface resistance is 0.125Ω/cm2. However, in fact, due to the pores of the separator used in the liquid electrolyte The tortuosity is large, so in fact the surface resistance of the electrolyte can reach 3.75Ω/cm2, and the solid electrolyte does not require a separator, so to achieve the same surface resistance as the electrolyte, the conductivity of the solid electrolyte can be lower, we Taking a 10um solid electrolyte as an example, to achieve an effect similar to that of an electrolyte, the conductivity only needs to reach 0.27mS/cm.

　　The main problem facing the preparation of oxide solid-state solid-state batteries is how to obtain an electrolyte layer with lower porosity and higher conductivity. In order to achieve this goal, sintering is a commonly used method, but recent studies have shown that most of the The cathode material will react with the solid electrolyte. For example, LNMO and LLZ will react above 600°C, and NCM622 material will react with LLZ above 700°C. However, in order to reduce the porosity of the solid electrolyte and increase the conductivity, the sintering temperature is usually It needs to reach above 1000°C, so the preparation of the positive electrode of the oxide solid-state battery cannot be solved by simple sintering, but requires a more complex process.

　　Oxide solid-state electrolyte technology is also used in solid-state fuel cells (SOFC) and solid-state capacitors (MLCC), which can provide a certain reference for the production of oxide all-solid-state batteries. Currently, the common preparation process of oxide solid-state electrolyte films can be used As shown in the table below, the vapor deposition method has a high error rate when preparing films of large size and thickness (5-30um), so it is not practical. The plasma or flame spray method cannot be applied due to the stability of the material. Therefore, there are only 6 methods that can be used for the production of oxide all-solid-state batteries. The figure below shows the convenience of the 6 thin film preparation methods in the preparation of solid electrolyte layers and positive electrode layers, as well as the reliability of solid-state battery preparation.

　　Another major factor affecting the application of power batteries is their production cost. Although most solid-state batteries are still in the laboratory stage and cost estimates lack valid data, we can estimate them through SOFC fuel cells that are close to them (as shown in the figure below) ), Figure a below shows the production cost of SOFC batteries. Processing costs including labor and sintering account for 75%, while material costs are only 25%. Since the production process of three-layer composite electrolyte layer solid-state batteries is close to that of SOFC batteries, we can use SOFC data to predict their costs. At present, the material cost of all-solid-state batteries is mainly controlled by the oxide solid electrolyte LLZ. The current price of LLZ is as high as 2000$/kg, but with the development of solid-state battery technology, the cost of LLZ will drop significantly. It can be assumed that the minimum cost of LLZ can be reduced to 50$/kg. Therefore, when the battery structure is similar, the thickness of the positive LNMO When the thickness is 70um, the cost of a single battery is 0.12$. If the thickness of the positive electrode is reduced to 150um, the cost of a single battery will increase to 0.23$. Since most of the production cost of solid-state batteries is the production process cost, expanding the production scale can effectively reduce the cost of the battery. From Figure b below, you can see that the production process cost will reach 750 in small-scale production (10,000 units/year). -2500$/kWh, but if the production capacity is expanded to 100 million units/year (10-20GWh/year), the production process cost will drop significantly to 75-240$/kWh, so the final cost of all-solid-state batteries is expected to drop to 140 -350Wh/kg. But even so, the production process cost still accounts for more than 50%, which is still significantly higher than that of lithium-ion batteries (the process cost is only 20-30%). Material cost still has an important impact on solid-state batteries. From Figure c below, we can see that if the cost of LLZ electrolyte drops to 20$/kg, the cost of the battery can be reduced to 180-310$/kWh when using LNMO cathode. If The cost of high-nickel NMC is expected to further drop to 120-210$/kWh, while the final target of all-solid-state batteries is 150$/kWh, which still requires a lot of optimization work.

　　Oxide solid electrolytes have high conductivity and good environmental stability, making them one of the best choices for solid-state battery electrolytes. However, solid electrolytes have high hardness and poor processability, so it is more important to design a suitable production process. At the same time, at this stage Since the production cost of solid-state batteries is still relatively high, the production cost of solid-state batteries, which can be effectively reduced through the reduction of raw material costs and scale effects, is expected to be reduced to 150$/kWh.

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