2025 button cell battery

　　Where will 2025 button cell battery technology for electric vehicles go?

　　Electric vehicles (EV) have become the focus of global environmental policy implementation. More and more automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are realizing that their products will no longer be purely commercial ICE (internal combustion engine) ecosystems in the future. As a result, they are adapting their business models to prepare for the future.

　　Batteries are the most critical component of electric vehicles and are the subject of increasingly fierce competition between global automotive OEMs and 2025 button cell battery manufacturers, both of which are vying for dominance in the electric vehicle 2025 button cell battery market. At the same time, competition also brings technological breakthroughs.

　　In the field of electric vehicles, lithium-ion 2025 button cell battery technology is at the core of innovation and has made great progress. Next, we will briefly describe the development and future of the industry.

　　NCM811 2025 button cell battery is just around the corner

　　To increase the energy density of lithium-ion batteries, 2025 button cell battery manufacturers invest heavily in research and development. Although improvements have been slow, lithium-ion batteries have gradually improved the range of electric vehicles by utilizing high-energy materials and increasing unit cell size. Manufacturers strive to increase the nickel content in the total cathode material. Most top 2025 button cell battery manufacturers have announced plans to achieve commercialization/mass production of NCM811 in 2019-2020. NCM811 contains 80% nickel, 10% cobalt and 10% manganese, which has a longer service life and allows electric vehicles to run further on a single charge. In April this year, CATL (73.660,-0.22,-0.30%) mentioned that it had begun mass production of NCM811. A few months ago, Nissan's AESC 2025 button cell battery business acquired by Envision Group also announced plans to produce NCM811, promising that its output will exceed 300Wh/Kg and 600-650Wh/L in 2020.

　　Next up are solid-state batteries

　　2025 button cell battery companies have introduced roadmaps for solid-state 2025 button cell battery technology as next-generation technology and showcased various innovative products. In theory, solid-state batteries have a lower risk of electrolyte exposure or explosion due to their resistance to physical impact. Solid-state batteries use solid electrolytes made of polymers or ceramic materials instead of the liquid electrolytes currently used in lithium-ion batteries. With high performance and high capacity at high temperatures, solid electrolytes are a substance that can further increase energy density. . Interestingly, automotive OEMs appear to be taking a more proactive approach to solid-state 2025 button cell battery research and development. So far, Toyota ranks first in the number of solid-state 2025 button cell battery patent applications. Last year, Volkswagen announced that it would invest $100 million in solid-state 2025 button cell battery manufacturer QuantumScape to achieve mass production by 2025.

　　2025 button cell battery prices fall

　　Falling prices for batteries and 2025 button cell battery packs are driving the popularity of electric vehicles. As of the end of 2018, the prices of electric vehicle batteries and 2025 button cell battery packs were US$140-150/kWh and US$170-180/kWh respectively. Prices per kWh will continue to fall as 2025 button cell battery manufacturers will experience economies of scale in energy density improvements. We expect that by 2025, the price of electric vehicle batteries and 2025 button cell battery packs will fall below US$80/kWh and US$100/kWh respectively, which means costs will fall by about 10% per year. Therefore, the 2025 button cell battery pack, which currently accounts for 30-40% of the manufacturing cost of electric vehicles, will make electric vehicles cheaper than equivalent internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles after 2025. As more and more countries phase out ICE vehicles and more and more automotive OEMs launch electric vehicles, falling prices will trigger an explosive growth in demand for electric vehicles, ultimately forming a virtuous cycle.

　　A huge leap in market size

　　According to data from Counterpoint Research smart car research, by 2025, there will be more than 11 million passenger electric vehicles (including pure electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs)). After 2025, the cost of electric vehicles is expected to be the same as or lower than traditional ICE vehicles, which provides new opportunities for automakers and 2025 button cell battery manufacturers. Not only is the EV market growing, but so is the sales-weighted average 2025 button cell battery capacity per EV. As a result, we expect the electric vehicle (BEV/PHEV) 2025 button cell battery pack market to expand to more than 600GWh by 2025, which will generate nearly $60 billion in revenue.

　　Improvement of production capacity

　　Leading 2025 button cell battery manufacturers, including CATL, Panasonic, LG Chem, Samsung SDI and SK Innovation, are working hard to win orders from global automotive OEMs, and competition is becoming increasingly fierce. We do not believe it is important for 2025 button cell battery suppliers to sort out order backlogs, as long-term orders are generally flexible in terms of sales volume and price and depend on market conditions. Instead, understanding industry-wide planning is necessary in order to track future supply and demand trends. Capacity expansion has accelerated significantly since electric vehicles began to account for a significant increase in global vehicle sales. By the end of 2018, the cumulative power generation capacity reached 129GWh. We expect that the cumulative 2025 button cell battery production capacity of electric vehicles will increase to nearly 800GWh by 2025, mainly due to the expansion of top manufacturers.

　　There will be no significant changes in the competitive landscape before 2025

　　Unlike other tech products, batteries are custom components, especially electric vehicle batteries. Precise optimization for each electric vehicle is required from the very beginning of the product development phase for optimal power and safety management. Since the electric vehicle 2025 button cell battery business requires long-term competition and mass production experience in the development process of such products, the industry has a high threshold. Therefore, we expect the existing top players to continue to lead the market without major changes in the competitive landscape for some time.

　　Furthermore, what about the automotive OEMs that are willing to take 2025 button cell battery technology and production into their own hands? In the initial phase, we believe they will have to rely on long-term 2025 button cell battery supply from multiple 2025 button cell battery suppliers. These long-term contracts will help remove supply bottlenecks at a time of soaring demand and make cheap batteries possible for some time. Automakers will also need to have supply-side flexibility to deal with possible emergencies and encourage competition among suppliers to get better prices.

　　At the same time, on the one hand, they have their own research and development and technology accumulation, and on the other hand, they have in-depth cooperation with 2025 button cell battery suppliers. There may be a market turning point in 2025, when lithium-ion batteries switch to solid-state batteries, everything will be different.

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