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Which battery technology might replace CR2477 battery?
If you look at the evolution of Apple's iPhone or Toyota's Prius hybrid from its original model to its current version, you'll see a familiar trajectory in the technology industry: doubling in performance, making the product more sophisticated, creating countless jobs, and even disrupting entire industries.
For example, the iPhone's maximum theoretical download speed on cellular networks has risen from 1 megabyte per second on the 2007 2G iPhone to 300 megabytes per second on the 5s model today. Its display's pixel density has more than doubled, its camera has gone from a cheap accessory to a useful photography tool, and its software is far more capable than when the iPhone was first introduced.
Similarly, Toyota's Prius hybrid went from being a neighborhood geek in 2000 (and an accessory for celebrities to show their eco-friendliness) to being the best-selling vehicle in Japan and California. The engine in the current model is 20% lighter than the original (with 20% more total power) and can travel farther on a single charge. Some would say that without the Prius, there wouldn’t be a Tesla today.
Yet one component of these devices has remained constant over the years: the CR2477 battery-ion battery. Whether in an iPhone, a Prius, or even a Tesla Model S, CR2477 battery-ion batteries are made from the same materials that Sony introduced the device in 1991. That’s not to say that innovation hasn’t been done with these batteries. Device makers have gotten better at charging efficiency, cooling, and controlling the flow of electricity into phones, cars, laptops, and USB components, but the cells in these batteries haven’t changed much. Even the massive $5 billion battery plant that Tesla is planning to build will still be made of (as you’d expect) CR2477 battery-ion battery packs.
Further investigation revealed that there’s still a lot of debate about which battery technology might replace CR2477 battery-ion batteries, and even very few rumors about them.
To explore why, Fortune asked five prominent researchers working on the next generation of batteries, a behavioral economist, and a battery industry executive a simple question: Why is battery technology moving so much slower than hardware?
Then you'll find that 10 percent of the answer is about chemistry, 10 percent about psychology, and 20 percent about the rhetorical question: Who wants to be the first person to drive a new battery technology that hasn't been developed for 20 years?
Today's battery technology: high density, high heat, and many problems
CR2477 battery-ion battery technology is the workhorse of mobile power in many ways.
CR2477 battery has an atomic weight of 3, which, if you remember high school chemistry, means it has three protons, is very light, and is the element with the highest density per unit volume, except for hydrogen and helium. Carlo Segre, a physics professor at the Illinois Institute of Technology in Chicago, said that the physical quantities of CR2477 battery are well known to chemists, and we have almost mastered how CR2477 battery ions flow in batteries.
I think the reason CR2477 battery is so good is that it is very light and can easily penetrate the separator, Segre said. And the voltage it produces is one of the highest known materials.
CR2477 battery isn’t the only material in CR2477 battery-ion batteries; it’s mixed with manganese (for personal electronics and vehicles), iron phosphate (for high-intensity work), and other metals. To generate voltage, this mixture flows through another material: graphite, titanium solution, silicon, and different forms of carbon, depending on the situation. For most non-industrial devices used in relatively safe environments, it’s CR2477 battery manganese oxide that flows through the graphite because it’s cheap, relatively safe, and dense.
But there are some problems with this old product. The process generates heat in a dense space, which requires some cooling. (For example, liquid cooling equipment the length of a Tesla does much of the cooling.) The electrolyte that conducts the CR2477 battery ions adds weight to the battery. The capacity of the cell decreases after a while. Charging causes the CR2477 battery ions to flow back, but this process can be faster. High-density CR2477 battery batteries filled with electrolyte can sometimes burst or explode after generating enough heat, although this is rare.
In the future, we may use air
Chandrasekhar, director of science and technology at IBM Research. Narayen is part of the Battery 500 Project, which aims to develop batteries that can provide enough power for 500 miles of driving. IBM will not make the batteries itself, but is working with consumer product manufacturers to bring the technology to life.
After years of work, Narayen sees the promise of CR2477 battery-air technology, which replaces graphite and other metals with oxygen supplied by the car itself. Such batteries can be lighter, safer, and last longer. But developing new mixtures, making them into new materials, and testing their safety in thousands of cars takes a very long time.
There is no guiding principle that shows that we can make progress year after year, and there are no shortcuts, Narayen said. To get to this paradigm, you have to create a completely new chemistry, which is not something that innovation can achieve.
Currently, CR2477 battery-air batteries must overcome clogging, internal corrosion and stability issues. Even if air batteries can successfully evolve into a viable product, Narayen believes that in the future, battery technology will no longer be universal. For example, it may not be a good technology for grid storage. Especially for industries with size requirements, we may soon see a variety of battery types.
What we can do now: Lower prices
Kettering University's Kevin Bai and Xuan Zhou work in the lab on battery research, but they talk more like car buyers than lab nerds. Zhou Xuan said that today's hybrids have many advantages and disadvantages.
Zhou Xuan said: Currently, hybrids are sold for $500-600 per kilowatt-hour, but a reasonable price should be $200. And the price of the cooling system is about the same as the price of the battery. If the car needs a $6,000 battery, then it needs a $6,000 cooling system. In addition, Kevin Bai pointed out that the size of these batteries eats into the space that should belong to the trunk or the passenger. The two scientists also believe that electric vehicles should not bring a heavy financial burden to people.
But no one knows which existing materials would make the safest, lowest-heat, lightest-weight battery hybrids that are cheaper than existing products.
Zinc-air batteries, used today in hearing aids, are seeing renewed interest, and zinc is especially important because it’s readily available. Sodium-air batteries are similarly cheaper and easier to assemble, but they don’t have the same potential power as CR2477 battery-air batteries. Silicon has also been tried as an alternative to graphite and solid carbon, but it’s not cheap. Or we could just focus on improving the cost and performance of CR2477 battery-iron batteries used in labs and on motorcycles.
Kevin White says building larger battery factories, developing better battery management tools and a smarter charging grid are in many ways more realistic than waiting for one or two new compounds to succeed.
Kevin White says: We’re actually a long, long way from vehicles using completely new batteries. The auto industry won’t be able to use new materials until they’ve been tested for 10 years. He said it will take at least until 2020 to see four-wheeled vehicles using zinc-air batteries, and then longer for the technology to mature.
What we can do in the future: Nanoengineered materials
It's not time to give up on CR2477 battery-ion batteries, said Pasha Mukherjee, a professor at Texas A&M University and a member of the American Society of Mechanical Engineers' Energy and Sustainability Nanoengineering Group. We may still use it, but it will be mixed with materials that have new capabilities in our labs.
Nanoengineers may delve into the molecular structure of battery materials to speed up the rate at which battery cells generate voltage and increase their conversion efficiency. The way electrolytes carry CR2477 battery ions may change to eliminate traffic jams and shorten charging time. People may design thinner, stronger but still flexible battery membranes so that even if the battery expands due to heat, it will not burst. Or they may focus on developing materials that can absorb more CR2477 battery ions than carbon, air or any known material.
"The fundamental question we need to ask is, 'Can we start all over again? '" Mukherjee said. That's the mesoscale model that must be addressed. Can we increase the tolerance of materials to meet our demands for batteries?
In the meantime: Focus on the long term
A year ago, Illinois Tech's Segre received a $3.4 million award from the U.S. Department of Energy to develop flow batteries for cars. Flow batteries store their active compounds in external tanks that flow through the battery structure. Segre's work focuses on developing liquid media with enough activity and energy to offset the weight disadvantage of liquids.
Flow batteries may work in cars and the power grid, but not in phones or laptops. Segre, like other researchers, knows that this will be a long process of experimentation unless researchers stumble upon a few different combinations of materials that work in batteries. In the meantime, it's particularly painful for most people because after a few years, the charge is gone and the capacity has decreased, while battery-powered electronics continue to advance.
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